Short answer
No reliable CRS prediction exists, because IRCC decides the size and type of each round. In 2026 the data showed stable patterns: CEC rounds between 507 and 523, French rounds between 382 and 435, and PNP rounds between 697 and 805.
CEC cut-offs in 2026
| Date | Invitations | Cut-off |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 4,000 | 507 |
| Mar 31, 2026 | 2,250 | 509 |
| Apr 14, 2026 | 2,000 | 515 |
| Apr 28, 2026 | 2,000 | 514 |
| May 27, 2026 | 3,000 | 518 |
| Jun 23, 2026 | 4,000 | 516 |
| Jul 7, 2026 | 2,000 | 517 |
| Jul 21, 2026 | 2,000 | 516 |
| Aug 5, 2026 | 3,000 | 516 |
| Aug 18, 2026 | 1,000 | 523 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | 2,000 | 521 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | 2,000 | 519 |
| Sep 29, 2026 | 2,000 | 518 |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 2,500 | 519 |
What moves the cut-off
- Round size: bigger rounds reach further down the pool.
- Time between rounds: longer gaps let more high scores build up.
- Round type: categories with fewer eligible candidates close lower.
- Rule changes: the 3 November 2026 changes recalculated every profile, so the first rounds afterwards are the least predictable.
- Annual levels plan: the number of federal economic admissions Canada targets for the year.
How to use this
Plan for the range, not a single number. If your score is within 20 points of a range, small gains such as a language retake or sibling points matter. See how to increase your score and the draw history.
Frequently asked questions
Will CRS scores go down in 2027?
No one can say. Watch the round sizes and the immigration levels plan, and compare your score with the range of recent rounds.
Are CRS prediction websites reliable?
They extrapolate past rounds. IRCC does not publish future cut-offs.
Why did my score change after 3 November 2026?
IRCC recalculated all profiles under the new labour market integration factor.
Want your own number? The CRS calculator scores your profile under the 3 November 2026 rules, or and download a PDF report.